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Dover weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dover and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Dover is a small town of about 39,000 people in DE, sitting at 39.2°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Dover with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Smyrna, Milford, Middletown.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dover?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F98±0.8 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F94±1.8 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Dover today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dover today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dover today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dover and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dover?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dover (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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