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Dayton weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
61°
Clear
Feels 63° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
57°
Clear
Feels 56° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 86%
EuropeanECMWF
65°
Clear
Feels 67° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 82%

Latest for Dayton: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 61° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 57° Clear · European (ECMWF): 65° Clear.

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Dayton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Dayton…

Dayton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dayton swings 48°F across the year, from 92°F highs in August to 44°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 63 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
92°F average high
Coldest month
January
44°F average low
Wettest month
June
63 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
7,575
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dayton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dayton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dayton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Dayton, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 63 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dayton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dayton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
60°
44°
Feb
65°
48°
Mar
70°
54°
Apr
76°
60°
May
83°
68°
Jun
89°
72°
Jul
89°
73°
Aug
92°
74°
Sep
87°
69°
Oct
80°
61°
Nov
68°
52°
Dec
63°
46°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dayton has changed since 1995

Dayton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Atascocita. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Atascocita page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Dayton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dayton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dayton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dayton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dayton?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Dayton forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Dayton?
August is typically the warmest month in Dayton, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Dayton get?
The coldest month in Dayton is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Dayton get?
Dayton sees roughly 63 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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