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Every US forecast, compared
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Dayton weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Mainly clear
Feels 94° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Clear
Feels 93° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 87%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Mainly clear
Feels 93° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 93%

Latest for Dayton: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 81° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 81° Clear · European (ECMWF): 81° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dayton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Dayton, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 73 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dayton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dayton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
46°
Feb
68°
51°
Mar
73°
57°
Apr
77°
61°
May
84°
69°
Jun
91°
74°
Jul
92°
76°
Aug
96°
78°
Sep
91°
73°
Oct
83°
64°
Nov
72°
56°
Dec
66°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Dayton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dayton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dayton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dayton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dayton?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Dayton forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Dayton?
August is typically the warmest month in Dayton, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Dayton get?
The coldest month in Dayton is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Dayton get?
Dayton sees roughly 73 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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