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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Baytown weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Baytown today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain.

82°64°
80°65°
79°65°
78°65°
80°68°
79°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Clear
Today 81°·Low 65°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Mostly clear
Today 82°·Low 62°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Clear
Today 82°·Low 64°·Rain 0%
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Baytown weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Baytown…

Baytown weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Baytown swings 44°F across the year, from 91°F highs in August to 47°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 61 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 207 days a year at 77°F or above, 92 of them at 86°F or above, 4 frost nights, and rain on 172 days.

Warmest month
August
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
47°F average low
Wettest month
June
61 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
76,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
207 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
4 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
172 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Baytown’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Baytown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Baytown hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Baytown 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
82° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
80° 65°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
79° 65°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
78° 65°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
80° 68°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
79° 67°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
78° 67°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
80° 69°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
81° 70°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
83° 68°
±9°
Tue
Clear
77° 56°
±8°
Wed
Partly cloudy
70° 56°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
72° 62°
±5°

Baytown, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 61 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Baytown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Baytown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
62°
47°
Feb
66°
51°
Mar
70°
57°
Apr
75°
62°
May
81°
70°
Jun
87°
74°
Jul
88°
75°
Aug
91°
76°
Sep
86°
71°
Oct
78°
63°
Nov
69°
55°
Dec
63°
49°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Baytown has changed since 1995

Baytown sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Pasadena. That square ran 1.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Pasadena page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Baytown?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F96±1.2 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°81° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°78° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°77° to 80°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±3°77° to 80°±12%8% to 20% chance
Wed±3°78° to 81°±21%12% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Baytown

today, local time
Sunrise
07:27
Sunset
18:39
Daylight
11h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Baytown today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Baytown today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Baytown today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Baytown on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Baytown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Baytown (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Baytown?
August is typically the warmest month in Baytown, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Baytown get?
The coldest month in Baytown is January, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Baytown get?
Baytown sees roughly 61 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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