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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Covington weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Covington today. Tomorrow: fog, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain.

71°45°
73°45°
73°47°
71°49°
74°52°
75°51°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
48°
Clear
Feels 47° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
42°
Fog
Feels 40° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 100%
EuropeanECMWF
51°
Clear
Feels 48° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 80%

Latest for Covington: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 48° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 42° Fog · European (ECMWF): 51° Clear.

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Covington weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Covington weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Covington swings 60°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 24°F lows in February, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 39 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 127 days a year at 77°F or above, 45 of them at 86°F or above, 82 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
February
24°F average low
Wettest month
May
39 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
41,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
127 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
82 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
135 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Covington’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Covington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Covington hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Covington 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
71° 45°
models agree
Tomorrow
Fog
73° 45°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
73° 47°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
71° 49°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
74° 52°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
75° 51°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
73° 50°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
75° 51°
±5°
Sun
Light rain
71° 57°
±5°
Mon
Rain
64° 51°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
57° 44°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
56° 41°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
61° 44°
±15°

Covington, Kentucky (KY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Covington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Covington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
38°
25°
Feb
45°
24°
Mar
53°
33°
Apr
64°
44°
May
73°
54°
Jun
82°
62°
Jul
84°
66°
Aug
84°
65°
Sep
77°
58°
Oct
67°
48°
Nov
52°
36°
Dec
42°
29°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Covington has changed since 1995

Covington sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Cincinnati. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Cincinnati page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Covington?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F99±0.4 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F96±1.3 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°70° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°72° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°72° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°71° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°74° to 75°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Covington

today, local time
Sunrise
07:57
Sunset
18:46
Daylight
10h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in Covington today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Covington today. Tomorrow: fog, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Covington today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Covington on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Covington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Covington (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Covington?
July is typically the warmest month in Covington, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Covington get?
The coldest month in Covington is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Covington get?
Covington sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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