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CheckWeather USCincinnati
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Cincinnati weather

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Showers,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 90° in Cincinnati today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 81°, with a 48% chance of rain.

90°70°
81°67°
84°61°
88°67°
93°72°
82°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Showers
Today 90°·Low 72°·Rain 48%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Cloudy
Today 91°·Low 68°·Rain 48%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Light drizzle
Today 90°·Low 69°·Rain 66%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cincinnati and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
90° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
81° 67°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
84° 61°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
88° 67°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
93° 72°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
82° 70°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
83° 62°
±13°
Sat
Mostly clear
84° 63°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
89° 68°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 65°
±23°
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 60°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
71° 53°
models agree
Thu
Clear
74° 52°
models agree
Fri
Clear
75° 53°
models agree

Cincinnati, OH is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 29°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cincinnati right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cincinnati climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
42°
29°
Feb
53°
32°
Mar
56°
36°
Apr
66°
46°
May
75°
56°
Jun
83°
63°
Jul
86°
68°
Aug
85°
66°
Sep
80°
61°
Oct
69°
50°
Nov
56°
40°
Dec
46°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cincinnati?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F96±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.9 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°90° to 91°±18%48% to 66% chance
Tomorrow±4°80° to 83°±30%18% to 48% chance
Mon±3°83° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°88° to 89°±13%0% to 13% chance
Wed±2°92° to 94°±6%14% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cincinnati

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
20:02
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cincinnati today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Cincinnati today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cincinnati today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Cincinnati and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cincinnati?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cincinnati (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cincinnati?
July is typically the warmest month in Cincinnati, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Cincinnati get?
The coldest month in Cincinnati is January, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Cincinnati get?
Cincinnati sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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