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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

College weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put College's high today between 31° and 35°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: snow, around 32°, with a 93% chance of rain.

33°23°
32°29°
37°30°
36°27°
35°24°
35°26°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±4°
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Overcast
Feels 11° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 87%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Overcast
Feels 14° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 77%

Latest for College: American (NOAA GFS): 19° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 22° Overcast.

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College weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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College weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

College swings 81°F across the year, from 70°F highs in June to -11°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 20 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 12 days a year at 77°F or above, 215 frost nights, and rain on 105 days.

Warmest month
June
70°F average high
Coldest month
January
-11°F average low
Wettest month
July
20 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
June and August
Residents
13,000
share this forecast
Warm days
12 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
215 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
105 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for College’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around College and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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College hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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College 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
33° 23°
±5°
Tomorrow
Snow
32° 29°
models agree
Mon
Heavy snow
37° 30°
models agree
Tue
Light snow
36° 27°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
35° 24°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
35° 26°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
35° 28°
models agree
Sat
Snow
31° 22°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
30° 19°
models agree
Mon
Light snow
27° 17°
models agree
Tue
Light snow
26° 19°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 14°
±8°
Thu
Light snow
20° 12°
±8°

College, Alaska (AK) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 70°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around -11°F), with roughly 20 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for College right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

College climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
2°
-11°
Feb
11°
-4°
Mar
21°
1°
Apr
41°
20°
May
59°
38°
Jun
70°
49°
Jul
70°
52°
Aug
63°
48°
Sep
52°
38°
Oct
32°
21°
Nov
12°
1°
Dec
4°
-8°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around College has changed since 1995

College sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Fairbanks. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Fairbanks page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°31° to 35°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°31° to 34°±10%83% to 93% chance
Monmodels agree37° to 38°models agree77% to 77% chance
Tue±2°35° to 37°±3%53% to 56% chance
Wed±5°32° to 37°±11%8% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in College

today, local time
Sunrise
09:13
Sunset
17:55
Daylight
8h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in College today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put College's high today between 31° and 35°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: snow, around 32°, with a 93% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in College today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in College on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 83% (American 83%, European 93%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for College?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the College forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in College?
June is typically the warmest month in College, with average highs around 70°F.
How cold does College get?
The coldest month in College is January, when overnight lows average about -11°F.
How much rain does College get?
College sees roughly 20 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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