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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Canton weather

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Light rain,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Canton today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 76°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°64°
76°59°
77°58°
81°60°
79°69°
79°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Light rain
Today 76°·Low 63°·Rain 18%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 64°·Rain 18%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Light rain
Today 78°·Low 64°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Canton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
77° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
76° 59°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
77° 58°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
81° 60°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
79° 69°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
79° 64°
±10°
Fri
Partly cloudy
79° 58°
±8°
Sat
Partly cloudy
81° 62°
±4°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
84° 65°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 61°
±16°
Tue
Light drizzle
72° 55°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
70° 53°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
73° 55°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
75° 56°
±6°

Canton, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Canton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Canton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
24°
Feb
43°
25°
Mar
47°
30°
Apr
60°
40°
May
71°
49°
Jun
80°
59°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
63°
46°
Nov
50°
36°
Dec
41°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Canton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.3 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.6 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°76° to 78°±80%18% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±2°75° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°75° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°79° to 82°±1%3% to 4% chance
Wed±9°74° to 83°±20%24% to 44% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Canton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
20:01
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Canton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Canton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Canton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Canton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Canton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Canton (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Canton?
July is typically the warmest month in Canton, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Canton get?
The coldest month in Canton is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Canton get?
Canton sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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