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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Canton weather

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Fog,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 65° in Canton today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 68°, with a 1% chance of rain.

65°43°
68°42°
66°48°
58°45°
64°47°
72°48°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
46°
Mainly clear
Feels 43° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
45°
Fog
Feels 42° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
46°
Clear
Feels 44° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 97%

Latest for Canton: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 46° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 45° Fog · European (ECMWF): 46° Clear.

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Canton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Canton…

Canton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Canton swings 63°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 18°F lows in February, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 34 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 93 days a year at 77°F or above, 23 of them at 86°F or above, 119 frost nights, and rain on 127 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
February
18°F average low
Wettest month
May
34 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
September and October
Residents
87,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
93 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
119 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
127 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Canton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Canton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Canton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Canton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Fog
65° 43°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
68° 42°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
66° 48°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
58° 45°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
64° 47°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
72° 48°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
68° 47°
±10°
Sat
Cloudy
65° 50°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
67° 51°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
61° 44°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
49° 38°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
49° 35°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
55° 41°
±16°

Canton, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 18°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Canton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Canton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
20°
Feb
36°
18°
Mar
44°
27°
Apr
57°
37°
May
69°
47°
Jun
79°
58°
Jul
81°
62°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
73°
56°
Oct
60°
43°
Nov
47°
33°
Dec
36°
25°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Canton has changed since 1995

Canton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Ann Arbor. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Ann Arbor page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F97±1.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°63° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°66° to 69°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°65° to 68°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±3°56° to 60°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°62° to 66°±11%5% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Canton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:57
Sunset
18:38
Daylight
10h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Canton today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 65° in Canton today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 68°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Canton today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Canton on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Canton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Canton (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Canton?
July is typically the warmest month in Canton, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Canton get?
The coldest month in Canton is February, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Canton get?
Canton sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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