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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Brockton weather

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Mostly clear,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 58° in Brockton today. Tomorrow: clear, around 63°, with a 0% chance of rain.

58°34°
63°36°
67°40°
53°38°
52°36°
61°39°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
47°
Mainly clear
Feels 43° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 73%
AmericanNOAA GFS
42°
Overcast
Feels 37° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 74%
EuropeanECMWF
45°
Clear
Feels 41° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 67%

Latest for Brockton: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 47° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 42° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 45° Clear.

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Brockton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Brockton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Brockton swings 61°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 22°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 51 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 83 days a year at 77°F or above, 25 of them at 86°F or above, 102 frost nights, and rain on 131 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
February
22°F average low
Wettest month
March
51 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
95,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
83 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
102 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
131 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Brockton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Brockton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Brockton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Brockton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
58° 34°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
63° 36°
models agree
Mon
Clear
67° 40°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
53° 38°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
52° 36°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
61° 39°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
67° 46°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
59° 45°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
58° 45°
±10°
Mon
Drizzle
61° 47°
±12°
Tue
Light drizzle
64° 46°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
56° 38°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
55° 35°
models agree

Brockton, Massachusetts (MA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 22°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Brockton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Brockton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
36°
23°
Feb
39°
22°
Mar
45°
29°
Apr
57°
38°
May
68°
47°
Jun
76°
57°
Jul
83°
66°
Aug
80°
63°
Sep
72°
57°
Oct
62°
45°
Nov
51°
35°
Dec
40°
27°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Brockton has changed since 1995

Brockton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Providence. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Providence page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Brockton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F96±1.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°57° to 59°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°63° to 65°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°65° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±6°51° to 56°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°51° to 53°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Brockton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
10h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Brockton today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 58° in Brockton today. Tomorrow: clear, around 63°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Brockton today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Brockton on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Brockton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Brockton (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Brockton?
July is typically the warmest month in Brockton, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Brockton get?
The coldest month in Brockton is February, when overnight lows average about 22°F.
How much rain does Brockton get?
Brockton sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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