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CheckWeather USBayonne
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Bayonne weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Bayonne's high today between 78° and 83°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 76°, with a 51% chance of rain.

80°69°
76°65°
78°61°
82°64°
85°69°
82°73°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 69°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 69°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Light drizzle
Today 79°·Low 68°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bayonne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
80° 69°
±5°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
76° 65°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
78° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
82° 64°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
85° 69°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
82° 73°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
80° 67°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
78° 65°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
80° 69°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
82° 70°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
77° 67°
±14°
Wed
Light drizzle
75° 63°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 61°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
72° 61°
±5°

Bayonne, NJ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 30°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bayonne right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bayonne climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
32°
Feb
45°
30°
Mar
51°
36°
Apr
61°
45°
May
69°
54°
Jun
79°
63°
Jul
85°
70°
Aug
82°
67°
Sep
76°
61°
Oct
68°
51°
Nov
55°
40°
Dec
45°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bayonne?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F91±2.8 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F93±2.2 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°78° to 83°±6%2% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±5°73° to 78°±45%6% to 51% chance
Mon±2°78° to 79°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±2°80° to 83°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°83° to 87°±6%4% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bayonne

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bayonne today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bayonne today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bayonne today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bayonne and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bayonne?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bayonne (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bayonne?
July is typically the warmest month in Bayonne, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Bayonne get?
The coldest month in Bayonne is February, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Bayonne get?
Bayonne sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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