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Bastrop weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bastrop and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Bastrop, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 101°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bastrop right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bastrop climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
42°
Feb
68°
48°
Mar
75°
56°
Apr
79°
60°
May
85°
68°
Jun
94°
74°
Jul
97°
77°
Aug
101°
79°
Sep
94°
74°
Oct
86°
65°
Nov
73°
54°
Dec
68°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Bastrop today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bastrop today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bastrop today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bastrop and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bastrop?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Bastrop forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Bastrop?
August is typically the warmest month in Bastrop, with average highs around 101°F.
How cold does Bastrop get?
The coldest month in Bastrop is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Bastrop get?
Bastrop sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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