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CheckWeather USAspen Hill
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Aspen Hill weather

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Rain,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Aspen Hill today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 82°, with a 7% chance of rain.

81°70°
82°63°
82°62°
85°63°
90°66°
92°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±12°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Mainly clear
Feels 76° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
72°
Clear
Feels 72° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 53%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Overcast
Feels 77° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 64%

Latest for Aspen Hill: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 73° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 72° Clear · European (ECMWF): 74° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Aspen Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
81° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
82° 63°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
82° 62°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
85° 63°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
90° 66°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
92° 72°
±12°
Fri
Partly cloudy
84° 67°
±12°
Sat
Mostly clear
85° 66°
±11°
Sun
Mostly clear
89° 69°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
89° 69°
±16°
Tue
Drizzle
83° 66°
±25°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
75° 61°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
76° 61°
models agree
Fri
Showers
72° 60°
±12°

Aspen Hill, MD is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Aspen Hill right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Aspen Hill climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
46°
33°
Feb
51°
33°
Mar
56°
37°
Apr
68°
48°
May
74°
54°
Jun
84°
62°
Jul
89°
69°
Aug
85°
67°
Sep
78°
61°
Oct
69°
50°
Nov
57°
41°
Dec
47°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Aspen Hill?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F96±1.1 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°79° to 83°±39%14% to 53% chance
Tomorrow±3°81° to 84°±6%1% to 7% chance
Mon±4°79° to 83°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±4°83° to 87°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±6°87° to 93°±13%1% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Aspen Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Aspen Hill today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Aspen Hill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Aspen Hill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Aspen Hill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Aspen Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Aspen Hill (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Aspen Hill?
July is typically the warmest month in Aspen Hill, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Aspen Hill get?
The coldest month in Aspen Hill is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Aspen Hill get?
Aspen Hill sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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