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Ardmore weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Ardmore swings 61°F across the year, from 94°F highs in July to 33°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 178 days a year at 77°F or above, 113 of them at 86°F or above, 32 frost nights, and rain on 95 days.
Warmest month
July
94°F average high
Coldest month
January
33°F average low
Wettest month
May
40 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
25,000
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Warm days
178 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
32 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
95 days
a year with 0.04 in or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Ardmore’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Ardmore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ardmore hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Ardmore 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Ardmore, Oklahoma (OK) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Ardmore right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
52°
33°
Feb
57°
37°
Mar
65°
45°
Apr
72°
53°
May
80°
62°
Jun
90°
71°
Jul
94°
75°
Aug
92°
71°
Sep
84°
64°
Oct
74°
55°
Nov
63°
44°
Dec
53°
36°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Ardmore's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.2°F
Around Ardmore, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +1.2°F, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 95°F
9 fewer days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
10 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−4%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >95°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.8°F
−6
+3
+1%
1996
−1.4°F
−1
+16
+8%
1997
−2.0°F
+3
+5
−3%
1998
+1.8°F
+45
−11
+1%
1999
+1.3°F
+4
−17
+6%
2000
±0.0°F
+21
+12
+6%
2001
−1.2°F
−3
+3
−3%
2002
−2.0°F
−16
+8
−3%
2003
−0.2°F
+4
+14
−1%
2004
−0.9°F
−40
+1
−1%
2005
+0.7°F
+22
−9
−5%
2006
+2.2°F
+33
−22
+6%
2007
−1.6°F
−48
+13
−5%
2008
−0.5°F
−1
+7
+10%
2009
−1.2°F
−7
+8
+4%
2010
−0.9°F
+3
+14
−3%
2011
+2.5°F
+51
+4
+8%
2012
+2.4°F
+20
−15
−1%
2013
−1.2°F
+8
+14
−1%
2014
−1.6°F
−4
+12
+4%
2015
−0.9°F
−36
−1
−7%
2016
+0.6°F
−28
−7
−5%
2017
+1.5°F
−23
−21
−1%
2018
−0.5°F
+8
+7
−3%
2019
−1.2°F
−22
+6
−3%
2020
−0.5°F
−20
−18
−1%
2021
+0.4°F
−21
−16
−3%
2022
+1.6°F
+31
+16
+1%
2023
+2.2°F
+27
−16
−5%
2024
+2.7°F
+1
−22
−3%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Ardmore, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F
97±1.1 mph
9396% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F
94±2.0 mph
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
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Common questions
What's the weather in Ardmore today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Ardmore today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ardmore today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Ardmore and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ardmore?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Ardmore forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Ardmore?
July is typically the warmest month in Ardmore, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Ardmore get?
The coldest month in Ardmore is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Ardmore get?
Ardmore sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
Is Ardmore getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Ardmore, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 1.2°F, within the normal swing from year to year.
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