Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USAppleton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Appleton weather

Loading live data…

Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Appleton today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 77°, with a 1% chance of rain.

74°65°
77°60°
77°61°
75°66°
79°67°
75°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Drizzle
Today 76°·Low 64°·Rain 13%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 64°·Rain 13%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Drizzle
Today 72°·Low 65°·Rain 53%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Appleton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
74° 65°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
77° 60°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
77° 61°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 66°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
79° 67°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
75° 59°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
79° 60°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
78° 64°
±5°
Sun
Light rain
69° 58°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
64° 53°
±14°
Tue
Drizzle
67° 53°
±10°
Wed
Mostly clear
69° 50°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
71° 53°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
72° 55°
models agree

Appleton, WI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 19°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Appleton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Appleton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
19°
Feb
37°
20°
Mar
42°
26°
Apr
55°
37°
May
68°
49°
Jun
78°
59°
Jul
81°
63°
Aug
79°
62°
Sep
76°
58°
Oct
61°
46°
Nov
46°
34°
Dec
36°
25°

Which forecast is most accurate in Appleton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F95±1.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F94±1.8 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°72° to 76°±40%13% to 53% chance
Tomorrow±1°77° to 78°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°77° to 78°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±5°73° to 78°±4%57% to 61% chance
Wed±3°78° to 80°±27%58% to 85% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Appleton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Appleton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Appleton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Appleton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Appleton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Appleton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Appleton (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Appleton?
July is typically the warmest month in Appleton, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Appleton get?
The coldest month in Appleton is January, when overnight lows average about 19°F.
How much rain does Appleton get?
Appleton sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather