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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Appleton weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in Appleton today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 65°, with a 16% chance of rain.

68°53°
65°54°
55°47°
57°45°
66°52°
64°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
55°
Mainly clear
Feels 51° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
51°
Overcast
Feels 47° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
55°
Partly cloudy
Feels 51° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 78%

Latest for Appleton: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 55° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 51° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 55° Partly cloudy.

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Appleton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Appleton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Appleton swings 67°F across the year, from 80°F highs in July to 13°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 32 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 72 days a year at 77°F or above, 15 of them at 86°F or above, 138 frost nights, and rain on 117 days.

Warmest month
July
80°F average high
Coldest month
January
13°F average low
Wettest month
June
32 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, August and September
Residents
74,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
72 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
138 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
117 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Appleton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Appleton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Appleton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Appleton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
68° 53°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
65° 54°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
55° 47°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
57° 45°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
66° 52°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
64° 50°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
62° 48°
±11°
Sat
Light drizzle
63° 53°
±10°
Sun
Light drizzle
61° 51°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
57° 41°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
46° 37°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
50° 38°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
53° 39°
±11°

Appleton, Wisconsin (WI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 13°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Appleton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Appleton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
23°
13°
Feb
30°
13°
Mar
40°
24°
Apr
52°
34°
May
65°
46°
Jun
76°
57°
Jul
80°
62°
Aug
78°
61°
Sep
71°
53°
Oct
57°
42°
Nov
43°
31°
Dec
30°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Appleton has changed since 1995

Appleton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Green Bay. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Green Bay page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Appleton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F94±1.9 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°66° to 69°±6%5% to 11% chance
Tomorrow±8°60° to 68°±2%14% to 16% chance
Mon±7°52° to 60°±15%5% to 20% chance
Tue±2°55° to 58°±32%13% to 45% chance
Wed±2°66° to 68°±18%21% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Appleton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:20
Sunset
17:54
Daylight
10h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Appleton today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in Appleton today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 65°, with a 16% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Appleton today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Appleton on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 16% (NWS 16%, American 16%, European 14%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 11%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Appleton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Appleton (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Appleton?
July is typically the warmest month in Appleton, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Appleton get?
The coldest month in Appleton is January, when overnight lows average about 13°F.
How much rain does Appleton get?
Appleton sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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