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Aberdeen weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Aberdeen swings 74°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 8°F lows in February, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 94 days a year at 77°F or above, 30 of them at 86°F or above, 157 frost nights, and rain on 80 days.
Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
February
8°F average low
Wettest month
June
22 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
May and September
Residents
28,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
94 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
157 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
80 days
a year with 0.04 in or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Aberdeen’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Aberdeen and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Aberdeen hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Aberdeen 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
69°41°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
48°36°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
44°37°
±6°
Tue
Drizzle
50°39°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
55°41°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
59°40°
±10°
Fri
Cloudy
62°42°
±16°
Sat
Light snow
60°46°
±12°
Sun
Light snow
56°39°
±11°
Mon
Drizzle
53°37°
±11°
Tue
Cloudy
49°35°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
51°35°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
56°35°
±15°
Aberdeen, South Dakota (SD) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 8°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Aberdeen right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
23°
10°
Feb
28°
8°
Mar
37°
20°
Apr
51°
33°
May
67°
45°
Jun
77°
58°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
71°
51°
Oct
57°
38°
Nov
41°
24°
Dec
28°
15°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Aberdeen's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.0°F
Around Aberdeen, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +1.0°F, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 95°F
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
2 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >95°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.9°F
−7
+7
−4%
1996
−5.0°F
−7
+26
+2%
1997
−1.7°F
−10
+11
+0%
1998
+1.5°F
−4
−17
−8%
1999
+1.1°F
−4
−3
+0%
2000
−0.7°F
−1
−7
+0%
2001
+1.5°F
+14
−12
+0%
2002
+1.0°F
+12
+20
+4%
2003
+0.4°F
+8
−10
+2%
2004
+0.2°F
−4
−1
+0%
2005
+1.3°F
+4
−6
+2%
2006
+2.9°F
+10
+0
+0%
2007
+0.6°F
−2
−11
+2%
2008
−1.9°F
−4
+6
+2%
2009
−3.0°F
−10
+6
−2%
2010
−1.0°F
−6
−12
−4%
2011
−1.0°F
−5
+5
+2%
2012
+3.5°F
+12
−23
+0%
2013
−1.9°F
−1
+28
+0%
2014
−2.6°F
−7
+2
+6%
2015
+1.5°F
−2
−18
+2%
2016
+2.6°F
−1
−20
+4%
2017
+1.0°F
+1
−10
−2%
2018
−0.7°F
+2
+18
−4%
2019
−4.1°F
−10
+16
−2%
2020
+0.4°F
−4
+16
−2%
2021
+2.9°F
+10
−12
+0%
2022
−1.4°F
+4
+10
+6%
2023
+1.9°F
+3
+4
−6%
2024
+2.4°F
−4
−16
+0%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Aberdeen, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Aberdeen?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F
98±0.7 mph
8290% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
83
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F
95±1.5 mph
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
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Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±4°67° to 71°
±4%7% to 11% chance
Tomorrow
±1°47° to 48°
±26%31% to 57% chance
Mon
±6°41° to 46°
±33%50% to 83% chance
Tue
±4°48° to 52°
±27%56% to 83% chance
Wed
±2°54° to 56°
±9%20% to 29% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Aberdeen
today, local time
Sunrise
08:02
Sunset
18:33
Daylight
10h 31m
Common questions
What's the weather in Aberdeen today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 69° in Aberdeen today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 48°, with a 57% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Aberdeen today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Aberdeen on Sunday, October 25: NWS 57%, American 57%, European 31%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 11%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Aberdeen?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Aberdeen (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Aberdeen?
July is typically the warmest month in Aberdeen, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Aberdeen get?
The coldest month in Aberdeen is February, when overnight lows average about 8°F.
How much rain does Aberdeen get?
Aberdeen sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Aberdeen getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Aberdeen, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 1.0°F, within the normal swing from year to year.
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