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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Brookings weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 65° in Brookings today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 48°, with a 63% chance of rain.

65°47°
48°41°
44°40°
56°44°
60°45°
60°46°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
59°
Overcast
Feels 53° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
58°
Overcast
Feels 55° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 86%
EuropeanECMWF
60°
Overcast
Feels 56° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 82%

Latest for Brookings: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 59° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 58° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 60° Overcast.

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Brookings weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Brookings…

Brookings weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Brookings swings 72°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 9°F lows in February, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 26 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 84 days a year at 77°F or above, 23 of them at 86°F or above, 154 frost nights, and rain on 90 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
February
9°F average low
Wettest month
June
26 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
May and September
Residents
24,000
share this forecast
Warm days
84 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
154 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
90 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Brookings’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Brookings and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Brookings hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Brookings 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
65° 47°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
48° 41°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
44° 40°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
56° 44°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
60° 45°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
60° 46°
±11°
Fri
Cloudy
64° 48°
±15°
Sat
Light drizzle
61° 52°
±11°
Sun
Light drizzle
58° 41°
±12°
Mon
Mostly clear
53° 38°
±10°
Tue
Cloudy
49° 34°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
52° 35°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
58° 39°
±17°

Brookings, South Dakota (SD) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 9°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Brookings right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Brookings climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
10°
Feb
28°
9°
Mar
39°
21°
Apr
53°
34°
May
67°
46°
Jun
77°
57°
Jul
81°
62°
Aug
79°
61°
Sep
71°
52°
Oct
57°
39°
Nov
41°
24°
Dec
28°
15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Brookings' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.8°F

Around Brookings, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.8°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average1996: −4.9°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average1998: +2.1°F vs the 30-year average1999: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2004: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2005: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2006: +2.3°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2008: −2.1°F vs the 30-year average2009: −2.6°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2011: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2012: +3.9°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average2014: −2.6°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2016: +2.4°F vs the 30-year average2017: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2018: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2019: −3.7°F vs the 30-year average2020: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2021: +2.4°F vs the 30-year average2022: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2023: +2.4°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.3°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

4 fewer days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −12 vs the 30-year average1996: −13 vs the 30-year average1997: −9 vs the 30-year average1998: +2 vs the 30-year average1999: −8 vs the 30-year average2000: +17 vs the 30-year average2001: +18 vs the 30-year average2002: +23 vs the 30-year average2003: +18 vs the 30-year average2004: −6 vs the 30-year average2005: +5 vs the 30-year average2006: +8 vs the 30-year average2007: +9 vs the 30-year average2008: −12 vs the 30-year average2009: −20 vs the 30-year average2010: −15 vs the 30-year average2011: −7 vs the 30-year average2012: +33 vs the 30-year average2013: +2 vs the 30-year average2014: −23 vs the 30-year average2015: −8 vs the 30-year average2016: +1 vs the 30-year average2017: −1 vs the 30-year average2018: −2 vs the 30-year average2019: −24 vs the 30-year average2020: −8 vs the 30-year average2021: +18 vs the 30-year average2022: +7 vs the 30-year average2023: +22 vs the 30-year average2024: −11 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

2 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +7 vs the 30-year average1996: +20 vs the 30-year average1997: +15 vs the 30-year average1998: −19 vs the 30-year average1999: −9 vs the 30-year average2000: −12 vs the 30-year average2001: −10 vs the 30-year average2002: +21 vs the 30-year average2003: −4 vs the 30-year average2004: −1 vs the 30-year average2005: −4 vs the 30-year average2006: +6 vs the 30-year average2007: −9 vs the 30-year average2008: +9 vs the 30-year average2009: +2 vs the 30-year average2010: −13 vs the 30-year average2011: +9 vs the 30-year average2012: −22 vs the 30-year average2013: +26 vs the 30-year average2014: +1 vs the 30-year average2015: −19 vs the 30-year average2016: −20 vs the 30-year average2017: −9 vs the 30-year average2018: +21 vs the 30-year average2019: +11 vs the 30-year average2020: +17 vs the 30-year average2021: −10 vs the 30-year average2022: +14 vs the 30-year average2023: +2 vs the 30-year average2024: −18 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −2% vs the 30-year average1996: −0% vs the 30-year average1997: −0% vs the 30-year average1998: −6% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −0% vs the 30-year average2002: +3% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: −0% vs the 30-year average2006: −0% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: +1% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: −4% vs the 30-year average2011: −0% vs the 30-year average2012: −0% vs the 30-year average2013: −0% vs the 30-year average2014: +7% vs the 30-year average2015: +3% vs the 30-year average2016: +3% vs the 30-year average2017: −0% vs the 30-year average2018: −4% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: −2% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: +7% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: −0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.7°F−12+7−2%
1996−4.9°F−13+20−0%
1997−1.5°F−9+15−0%
1998+2.1°F+2−19−6%
1999+1.5°F−8−9+3%
2000+0.1°F+17−12+1%
2001+0.6°F+18−10−0%
2002+0.8°F+23+21+3%
2003+0.3°F+18−4+1%
2004+0.3°F−6−1+1%
2005+1.4°F+5−4−0%
2006+2.3°F+8+6−0%
2007+0.6°F+9−9+3%
2008−2.1°F−12+9+1%
2009−2.6°F−20+2−2%
2010−1.0°F−15−13−4%
2011−1.0°F−7+9−0%
2012+3.9°F+33−22−0%
2013−1.9°F+2+26−0%
2014−2.6°F−23+1+7%
2015+1.5°F−8−19+3%
2016+2.4°F+1−20+3%
2017+0.8°F−1−9−0%
2018−1.3°F−2+21−4%
2019−3.7°F−24+11−2%
2020−0.1°F−8+17−2%
2021+2.4°F+18−10−2%
2022−1.2°F+7+14+7%
2023+2.4°F+22+2−6%
2024+2.3°F−11−18−0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Brookings, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°64° to 67°±39%37% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±5°46° to 51°±14%49% to 63% chance
Mon±3°43° to 46°±16%74% to 90% chance
Tue±5°53° to 58°±9%76% to 85% chance
Wed±6°57° to 63°±8%22% to 30% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Brookings

today, local time
Sunrise
07:53
Sunset
18:28
Daylight
10h 35m

Common questions

What's the weather in Brookings today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 65° in Brookings today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 48°, with a 63% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Brookings today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Brookings on Sunday, October 25: NWS 63%, American 63%, European 49%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 76%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Brookings?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Brookings forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Brookings?
July is typically the warmest month in Brookings, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Brookings get?
The coldest month in Brookings is February, when overnight lows average about 9°F.
How much rain does Brookings get?
Brookings sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Brookings getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Brookings, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.8°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

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