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CheckWeather AU›Yarraville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Yarraville weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Yarraville today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain.

22°16°
18°10°
15°7°
16°8°
18°8°
20°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Drizzle
Today 23°·Low 16°·Rain 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Heavy drizzle
Today 22°·Low 16°·Rain 87%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Thunderstorm
Today 21°·Low 17°·Rain 73%
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Yarraville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Yarraville swings 17°C across the year, from 24°C highs in January to 7°C lows in August, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 589 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
24°C average high
Coldest month
August
7°C average low
Wettest month
November
589 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
16,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Yarraville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Yarraville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Yarraville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
22° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 8°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 8°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light rain
18° 13°
±8°
Sat
Rain
20° 13°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
14° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 8°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
22° 11°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±11°
Fri
Partly cloudy
25° 12°
±8°

Yarraville, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 7°C), with roughly 589 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Yarraville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Yarraville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
24°
16°
Feb
24°
16°
Mar
22°
15°
Apr
18°
12°
May
15°
9°
Jun
14°
8°
Jul
13°
8°
Aug
13°
7°
Sep
15°
9°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
19°
13°
Dec
21°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Yarraville has changed since 1995

Yarraville sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Melbourne. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Melbourne page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Yarraville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
76
/100rank #1
56±2.5°C89±5.5 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
57±2.4°C95±2.7 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
70
/100rank #3
53±2.6°C90±4.9 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 23°±18%73% to 91% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±2°15° to 17°±39%10% to 49% chance
Tue±1°15° to 17°±42%5% to 47% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°±23%0% to 23% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Yarraville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Yarraville today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Yarraville today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Yarraville today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Yarraville on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (European 100%, American 100%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 91%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Yarraville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Yarraville (CheckWeather Score 76/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Yarraville?
January is typically the warmest month in Yarraville, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Yarraville get?
The coldest month in Yarraville is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Yarraville get?
Yarraville sees roughly 589 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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