Kensington weather
Loading live data…Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Kensington today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain.
Latest for Kensington: European (ECMWF): 16° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 16° Mainly clear.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Kensington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitKensington is a small town of about 9,719 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.8°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Kensington with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Flemington, North Melbourne, Ascot Vale.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Which forecast is most accurate in Kensington?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
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your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
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Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.