Warragul weather
Loading live data…Showers,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Warragul today. Tomorrow: rain, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.
Latest for Warragul: European (ECMWF): 16° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 17° Overcast.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Warragul weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsWarragul swings 21°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 5°C lows in July, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1042 mm of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Warragul and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Warragul hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Warragul 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitWarragul, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1042 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Warragul right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Warragul climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How the weather around Warragul has changed since 1995
Warragul sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Pakenham. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Pakenham page.
Which forecast is most accurate in Warragul?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.