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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Moe weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Moe's high today between 23° and 26°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°14°
18°9°
14°7°
15°6°
17°7°
21°9°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±7°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 17° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Fog
Feels 16° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 96%

Latest for Moe: European (ECMWF): 16° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Fog · German (DWD ICON): 17° Overcast.

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Moe weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Moe swings 22°C across the year, from 25°C highs in January to 3°C lows in August, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 873 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
25°C average high
Coldest month
August
3°C average low
Wettest month
September
873 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
9,375
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Moe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Moe hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Moe 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
24° 14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Rain
18° 9°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
14° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 6°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
17° 7°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 9°
±7°
Fri
Light rain
21° 10°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
16° 8°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
21° 6°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
25° 8°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
23° 8°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
24° 11°
±7°

Moe, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 3°C), with roughly 873 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Moe right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Moe climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
25°
13°
Feb
25°
13°
Mar
22°
11°
Apr
18°
9°
May
15°
7°
Jun
12°
5°
Jul
11°
4°
Aug
12°
3°
Sep
15°
5°
Oct
17°
6°
Nov
19°
9°
Dec
22°
11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Moe has changed since 1995

Moe sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Traralgon. That square ran 0.8°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Traralgon page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Moe?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C97±1.3 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
71±1.6°C95±2.4 km/h8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
66
/100rank #3
39±3.4°C86±6.9 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 26°±22%63% to 85% chance
Tomorrow±3°16° to 19°±15%85% to 100% chance
Mon±1°13° to 15°±59%28% to 87% chance
Tue±3°14° to 16°±81%9% to 90% chance
Wed±4°15° to 19°±31%3% to 34% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Moe

today, local time
Sunrise
06:17
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Moe today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Moe's high today between 23° and 26°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Moe today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Moe on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 85% (European 100%, American 100%, German 85%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 85%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Moe?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Moe (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Moe?
January is typically the warmest month in Moe, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Moe get?
The coldest month in Moe is August, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Moe get?
Moe sees roughly 873 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather