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CheckWeather AUWantirna
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Wantirna weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Wantirna today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 76% chance of rain.

17°11°
13°
15°
12°
13°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain 52%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 48%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Wantirna and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
±2°
Sun
Light rain
21°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
15°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
±9°

Wantirna is a small town of about 14,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.9°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Wantirna with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Vermont, Vermont South, Heathmont.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wantirna?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.4 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
78
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C97±1.4 km/t5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C96±2.0 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 17°±32%48% to 80% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree13° to 14°±41%35% to 76% chance
Tue±1°15° to 15°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wedmodels agree12° to 12°±14%63% to 77% chance
Thu±1°13° to 14°±12%2% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wantirna

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wantirna today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Wantirna today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wantirna today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Wantirna and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wantirna?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Wantirna (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the European at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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