Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Wantirna South today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 92% chance of rain.
Wantirna South is a small town of about 21,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.9°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Wantirna South with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Scoresby, Knoxfield, Wheelers Hill.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.