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CheckWeather AUThe Ponds
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

The Ponds weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in The Ponds today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 24°, with a 68% chance of rain.

23°13°
24°11°
19°10°
19°
19°
22°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Mostly clear
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around The Ponds and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
24° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
22°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
23° 10°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
28°
models agree
Mon
Clear
30° 13°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
23° 13°
±6°
Wed
Partly cloudy
22° 10°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
±6°
Fri
Clear
28°
±3°
Sat
Clear
31° 14°
models agree

The Ponds is a small town of about 12,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 33.7°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast The Ponds with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Kellyville Ridge, Rouse Hill, Stanhope Gardens.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in The Ponds?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.5 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
68±1.8°C96±1.9 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C95±2.3 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree23° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±38%30% to 68% chance
Tue±1°18° to 20°±29%18% to 47% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±52%3% to 55% chance
Thu±1°18° to 19°±12%0% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in The Ponds

today, local time
Sunrise
06:07
Sunset
17:41
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in The Ponds today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for The Ponds today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in The Ponds today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for The Ponds and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for The Ponds?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for The Ponds (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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