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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Taree weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 28° in Taree today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 29°, with a 96% chance of rain.

28°15°
29°17°
26°17°
21°15°
24°13°
25°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Mainly clear
Feels 20° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Mainly clear
Feels 19° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 98%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Partly cloudy
Feels 22° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 94%

Latest for Taree: European (ECMWF): 19° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Mainly clear · German (DWD ICON): 20° Partly cloudy.

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Taree weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Taree swings 21°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 7°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1202 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
February
1202 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
16,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Taree and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Taree hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Taree 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
28° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
29° 17°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
26° 17°
±2°
Tue
Drizzle
21° 15°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
25° 11°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 14°
±6°
Sat
Showers
28° 17°
±2°
Sun
Drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
27° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
25° 15°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
22° 14°
±4°

Taree, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1202 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Taree right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Taree climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
19°
Feb
28°
18°
Mar
26°
17°
Apr
23°
14°
May
20°
10°
Jun
18°
8°
Jul
17°
7°
Aug
19°
7°
Sep
23°
9°
Oct
24°
12°
Nov
25°
16°
Dec
27°
16°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Taree's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C

Around Taree, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2001: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2006: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2009: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2010: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2019: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2020: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2021: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

7 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −16 vs the 30-year average1996: −18 vs the 30-year average1997: +2 vs the 30-year average1998: +12 vs the 30-year average1999: −14 vs the 30-year average2000: −5 vs the 30-year average2001: +2 vs the 30-year average2002: +6 vs the 30-year average2003: −3 vs the 30-year average2004: +11 vs the 30-year average2005: +8 vs the 30-year average2006: +0 vs the 30-year average2007: −7 vs the 30-year average2008: −19 vs the 30-year average2009: +7 vs the 30-year average2010: −10 vs the 30-year average2011: −2 vs the 30-year average2012: −7 vs the 30-year average2013: −1 vs the 30-year average2014: +2 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: +6 vs the 30-year average2017: +15 vs the 30-year average2018: +8 vs the 30-year average2019: +39 vs the 30-year average2020: +5 vs the 30-year average2021: −19 vs the 30-year average2022: −22 vs the 30-year average2023: +12 vs the 30-year average2024: +7 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: +2% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: +2% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: +2% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: −1% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: −1% vs the 30-year average2010: −1% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: −1% vs the 30-year average2014: −4% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: −1% vs the 30-year average2021: −1% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −4% vs the 30-year average2024: −4% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.0°C−16+2%
1996−0.8°C−18+2%
1997+0.1°C+2−1%
1998+0.3°C+12+2%
1999−0.4°C−14+2%
2000−0.2°C−5+2%
2001±0.0°C+2+2%
2002+0.3°C+6+2%
2003−0.3°C−3+2%
2004+0.1°C+11−1%
2005+0.2°C+8−1%
2006±0.0°C+0−1%
2007−0.1°C−7−1%
2008−0.7°C−19+2%
2009±0.0°C+7−1%
2010+0.1°C−10−1%
2011−0.5°C−2+2%
2012−0.5°C−7−1%
2013±0.0°C−1−1%
2014+0.3°C+2−4%
2015−0.1°C−3−4%
2016+0.7°C+6−1%
2017+0.6°C+15−1%
2018+0.3°C+8−1%
2019+1.2°C+39−1%
2020±0.0°C+5−1%
2021−0.6°C−19−1%
2022−0.6°C−22+2%
2023+0.6°C+12−4%
2024+0.8°C+7−4%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Taree, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Taree?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C96±2.1 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
81±1.0°C96±2.0 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C94±3.0 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°27° to 29°±64%25% to 89% chance
Tomorrow±2°28° to 30°±36%60% to 96% chance
Mon±2°25° to 27°±17%80% to 97% chance
Tue±4°20° to 23°±40%31% to 71% chance
Wed±2°23° to 25°±47%8% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Taree

today, local time
Sunrise
06:00
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
13h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Taree today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 28° in Taree today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 29°, with a 96% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Taree today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Taree on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 60% (European 96%, American 62%, German 60%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 89%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Taree?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Taree (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Taree?
January is typically the warmest month in Taree, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Taree get?
The coldest month in Taree is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Taree get?
Taree sees roughly 1202 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Taree getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Taree, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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