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CheckWeather AUSouth Morang
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

South Morang weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put South Morang's high today between 16° and 18°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 44% chance of rain.

17°10°
13°
15°
12°
14°
16°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 37%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 26%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 10°·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around South Morang and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
21° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19°
±6°

South Morang, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 821 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for South Morang right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

South Morang climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
26°
13°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
18°
10°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
23°
12°
Dec
25°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in South Morang?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C93±3.5 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C95±2.5 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
83
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C96±2.1 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°16° to 18°±32%5% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±31%13% to 44% chance
Tue±3°14° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±32%38% to 70% chance
Thu±1°13° to 14°±15%0% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in South Morang

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in South Morang today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for South Morang today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in South Morang today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for South Morang and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for South Morang?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for South Morang (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in South Morang?
January is typically the warmest month in South Morang, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does South Morang get?
The coldest month in South Morang is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does South Morang get?
South Morang sees roughly 821 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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