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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Rockhampton weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Rockhampton today. Tomorrow: showers, around 29°, with a 100% chance of rain.

25°21°
29°21°
33°22°
34°22°
30°22°
29°22°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Overcast
Feels 25° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Partly cloudy
Feels 22° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 94%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Overcast
Feels 26° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 90%

Latest for Rockhampton: European (ECMWF): 22° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 20° Partly cloudy · German (DWD ICON): 23° Overcast.

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Rockhampton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Rockhampton swings 20°C across the year, from 31°C highs in February to 11°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 720 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
31°C average high
Coldest month
July
11°C average low
Wettest month
February
720 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
81,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Rockhampton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rockhampton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rockhampton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
25° 21°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
29° 21°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
33° 22°
±2°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
34° 22°
±5°
Wed
Showers
30° 22°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
29° 22°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
27° 20°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
30° 20°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
34° 20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
33° 21°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
29° 21°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
29° 20°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
33° 19°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
33° 20°
±5°

Rockhampton, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Rockhampton right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Rockhampton's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Rockhampton weather by month

what to expect in Rockhampton through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Rockhampton's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Rockhampton by season.

Jan
30°
22°
Hot
Feb
31°
21°
Hot
Wettest
Mar
29°
20°
Hot
Apr
27°
17°
Warm
May
25°
15°
Warm
Jun
23°
12°
Warm
Jul
21°
11°
Mild
Aug
23°
12°
Warm
Sep
26°
14°
Warm
Oct
29°
16°
Hot
Nov
30°
20°
Hot
Dec
31°
21°
Hot

What Rockhampton's weather is like through the year

Rockhampton runs from warm summers, with February highs near 31°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 11°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). February is usually the wettest month, and Rockhampton sees roughly 720 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Rockhampton

The most comfortable time to visit Rockhampton is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.

How Rockhampton's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C

Around Rockhampton, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2011: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2015: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

4 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4 vs the 30-year average1996: +3 vs the 30-year average1997: −4 vs the 30-year average1998: +7 vs the 30-year average1999: −13 vs the 30-year average2000: −15 vs the 30-year average2001: +6 vs the 30-year average2002: +15 vs the 30-year average2003: −11 vs the 30-year average2004: +6 vs the 30-year average2005: +13 vs the 30-year average2006: −2 vs the 30-year average2007: −7 vs the 30-year average2008: −13 vs the 30-year average2009: −5 vs the 30-year average2010: −19 vs the 30-year average2011: −18 vs the 30-year average2012: −5 vs the 30-year average2013: +5 vs the 30-year average2014: −3 vs the 30-year average2015: −15 vs the 30-year average2016: +8 vs the 30-year average2017: +2 vs the 30-year average2018: +9 vs the 30-year average2019: +19 vs the 30-year average2020: +4 vs the 30-year average2021: −10 vs the 30-year average2022: +8 vs the 30-year average2023: +8 vs the 30-year average2024: +9 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −0% vs the 30-year average1996: −0% vs the 30-year average1997: +2% vs the 30-year average1998: −2% vs the 30-year average1999: +7% vs the 30-year average2000: +7% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: −0% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: −2% vs the 30-year average2005: −0% vs the 30-year average2006: +4% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: −2% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: −2% vs the 30-year average2011: −2% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: −2% vs the 30-year average2014: −0% vs the 30-year average2015: −0% vs the 30-year average2016: −0% vs the 30-year average2017: −5% vs the 30-year average2018: +4% vs the 30-year average2019: +7% vs the 30-year average2020: −0% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: −2% vs the 30-year average2023: −0% vs the 30-year average2024: +2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.1°C+4−0%
1996−0.3°C+3−0%
1997−0.2°C−4+2%
1998+0.4°C+7−2%
1999−0.5°C−13+7%
2000−0.8°C−15+7%
2001+0.4°C+6−2%
2002+0.3°C+15−0%
2003−0.1°C−11−2%
2004+0.4°C+6−2%
2005+0.5°C+13−0%
2006−0.1°C−2+4%
2007−0.4°C−7+2%
2008−0.8°C−13−2%
2009+0.2°C−5−2%
2010−0.6°C−19−2%
2011−1.3°C−18−2%
2012−0.7°C−5−2%
2013−0.3°C+5−2%
2014−0.4°C−3−0%
2015±0.0°C−15−0%
2016+0.5°C+8−0%
2017+0.6°C+2−5%
2018+0.6°C+9+4%
2019+0.6°C+19+7%
2020+0.4°C+4−0%
2021+0.2°C−10−2%
2022±0.0°C+8−2%
2023+0.8°C+8−0%
2024+0.9°C+9+2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Rockhampton, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rockhampton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C97±1.7 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±1.8 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C92±4.2 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Rockhampton, scoring 88/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 81. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°24° to 26°models agree98% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°28° to 29°±14%86% to 100% chance
Mon±2°32° to 34°±30%28% to 58% chance
Tue±5°32° to 37°±32%48% to 80% chance
Wed±4°28° to 32°±18%47% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rockhampton

today, local time
Sunrise
05:18
Sunset
18:06
Daylight
12h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rockhampton today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Rockhampton today. Tomorrow: showers, around 29°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Rockhampton today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Rockhampton on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 86% (European 100%, American 86%, German 90%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 98%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rockhampton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rockhampton (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rockhampton?
February is typically the warmest month in Rockhampton, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Rockhampton get?
The coldest month in Rockhampton is July, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Rockhampton get?
Rockhampton sees roughly 720 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Rockhampton?
The most comfortable time to visit Rockhampton is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Rockhampton?
Rarely - Rockhampton very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Rockhampton getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Rockhampton, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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