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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Gracemere weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Gracemere's high today between 23° and 26°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 28°, with a 100% chance of rain.

25°21°
28°21°
32°22°
34°22°
30°21°
29°21°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±6°
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Overcast
Feels 25° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Partly cloudy
Feels 22° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 95%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Overcast
Feels 26° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 92%

Latest for Gracemere: European (ECMWF): 22° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 20° Partly cloudy · German (DWD ICON): 22° Overcast.

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Gracemere weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Gracemere swings 20°C across the year, from 31°C highs in January to 11°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 712 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
31°C average high
Coldest month
July
11°C average low
Wettest month
February
712 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Gracemere and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gracemere hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Gracemere 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
25° 21°
±3°
Tomorrow
Showers
28° 21°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
32° 22°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
34° 22°
±4°
Wed
Showers
30° 21°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
29° 21°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
27° 20°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
29° 20°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
33° 20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
33° 21°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
29° 20°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
29° 19°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
32° 19°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
33° 20°
±4°

Gracemere, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 31°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 11°C), with roughly 712 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Gracemere right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Gracemere climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
22°
Feb
31°
22°
Mar
30°
20°
Apr
27°
18°
May
26°
15°
Jun
23°
12°
Jul
22°
11°
Aug
24°
12°
Sep
27°
15°
Oct
29°
17°
Nov
30°
20°
Dec
31°
22°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Gracemere has changed since 1995

Gracemere sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Rockhampton. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Rockhampton page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Gracemere?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.3 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C98±1.2 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C91±4.7 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 26°models agree98% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°28° to 29°±14%86% to 100% chance
Mon±2°32° to 33°±30%28% to 58% chance
Tue±4°32° to 36°±32%48% to 80% chance
Wed±3°28° to 32°±18%47% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gracemere

today, local time
Sunrise
05:18
Sunset
18:06
Daylight
12h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gracemere today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Gracemere's high today between 23° and 26°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 28°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Gracemere today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Gracemere on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 86% (European 100%, American 86%, German 90%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 98%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gracemere?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gracemere (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gracemere?
January is typically the warmest month in Gracemere, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Gracemere get?
The coldest month in Gracemere is July, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Gracemere get?
Gracemere sees roughly 712 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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