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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUGracemere
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Gracemere weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Gracemere's high today between 30° and 33°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 30°, with a 10% chance of rain.

31°14°
30°16°
29°17°
27°16°
26°15°
25°15°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
33°
Clear
Today 33°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
30°
Fog
Today 30°·Low 13°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Gracemere and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
31° 14°
±2°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
30° 16°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
29° 17°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
27° 16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
26° 15°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
25° 15°
±3°
Sat
Mostly clear
24° 15°
models agree
Sun
Clear
25° 14°
models agree
Mon
Clear
26° 14°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
28° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
29° 15°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
29° 16°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
28° 14°
±9°

Gracemere is a small town of about 12,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 23.4°S in a tropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Gracemere with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include The Range, Rockhampton, Berserker.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Gracemere?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.2 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
93
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C96±1.9 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C93±3.3 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°30° to 33°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°29° to 31°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±2°28° to 30°±24%3% to 27% chance
Wed±2°26° to 28°±8%0% to 8% chance
Thu±5°24° to 29°±67%0% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gracemere

today, local time
Sunrise
06:04
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
11h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gracemere today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Gracemere today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Gracemere today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Gracemere and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gracemere?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gracemere (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the German at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather