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Picton weather

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EuropeanECMWF
28°
Partly cloudy
Feels 27° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Overcast
Feels 29° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 22%
GermanDWD ICON
26°
Overcast
Feels 27° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 50%

Latest for Picton: European (ECMWF): 28° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 30° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 26° Overcast.

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Picton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Picton swings 25°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 3°C lows in August, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 825 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
August
3°C average low
Wettest month
February
825 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
4,737
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Picton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Picton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Picton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Picton, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 3°C), with roughly 825 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Picton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Picton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
17°
Feb
27°
17°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
21°
11°
May
18°
8°
Jun
16°
6°
Jul
15°
5°
Aug
16°
3°
Sep
20°
5°
Oct
22°
8°
Nov
24°
12°
Dec
27°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Picton has changed since 1995

Picton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Blacktown. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Blacktown page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Picton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C97±1.6 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
61±2.2°C95±2.7 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
74
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C97±1.6 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Picton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Picton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Picton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Picton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Picton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Picton (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Picton?
January is typically the warmest month in Picton, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Picton get?
The coldest month in Picton is August, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Picton get?
Picton sees roughly 825 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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