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Phillip Island weather

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Phillip Island weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Phillip Island swings 14°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 9°C lows in July, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 868 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
July
9°C average low
Wettest month
August
868 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
7,071
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Phillip Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Phillip Island hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Phillip Island 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Phillip Island, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 9°C), with roughly 868 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Phillip Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Phillip Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
21°
15°
Feb
23°
16°
Mar
21°
16°
Apr
18°
13°
May
16°
11°
Jun
14°
10°
Jul
13°
9°
Aug
14°
9°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
17°
10°
Nov
19°
13°
Dec
20°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Phillip Island has changed since 1995

Phillip Island sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Mount Martha. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Mount Martha page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Phillip Island?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C84±7.8 km/h8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C87±6.5 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
82
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C81±9.5 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Phillip Island today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Phillip Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Phillip Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Phillip Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Phillip Island?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Phillip Island (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Phillip Island?
February is typically the warmest month in Phillip Island, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Phillip Island get?
The coldest month in Phillip Island is July, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Phillip Island get?
Phillip Island sees roughly 868 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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