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CheckWeather AUPhillip Island
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Phillip Island weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Phillip Island today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 58% chance of rain.

16°11°
13°
14°
12°
14°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light drizzle
Feels 8° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 8° · Wind 25 km/h · Humidity 73%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Light showers
Feels 8° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 78%

Latest for Phillip Island: European (ECMWF): 12° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 12° Light showers.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Phillip Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
15°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
19°
±2°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
20° 11°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
19° 12°
±7°

Phillip Island, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 9°C), with roughly 665 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Phillip Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Phillip Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
16°
Feb
23°
16°
Mar
21°
16°
Apr
18°
13°
May
16°
11°
Jun
14°
10°
Jul
13°
Aug
15°
10°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
18°
11°
Nov
20°
14°
Dec
21°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Phillip Island?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C85±7.3 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
84
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C84±8.0 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
80
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C82±8.8 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°±50%50% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±6%52% to 58% chance
Tue±1°13° to 14°±15%0% to 15% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±27%50% to 77% chance
Thu±1°14° to 14°±10%0% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Phillip Island

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Phillip Island today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Phillip Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Phillip Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Phillip Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Phillip Island?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Phillip Island (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Phillip Island?
February is typically the warmest month in Phillip Island, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Phillip Island get?
The coldest month in Phillip Island is July, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Phillip Island get?
Phillip Island sees roughly 665 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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