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CheckWeather AU›Pascoe Vale South
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Pascoe Vale South weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Pascoe Vale South today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain.

22°16°
18°10°
15°7°
16°7°
18°8°
20°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Rain
Feels 19° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 18° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Light showers
Feels 22° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 96%

Latest for Pascoe Vale South: European (ECMWF): 18° Rain · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Heavy drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 19° Light showers.

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Pascoe Vale South weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Pascoe Vale South swings 20°C across the year, from 26°C highs in February to 6°C lows in July, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 615 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
26°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
November
615 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
9,934
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Pascoe Vale South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Pascoe Vale South hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Pascoe Vale South 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
22° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15° 7°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 7°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 8°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Fri
Light rain
18° 12°
±10°
Sat
Rain
19° 12°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 8°
±5°
Tue
Light rain
22° 10°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
±11°
Fri
Partly cloudy
25° 11°
±7°

Pascoe Vale South, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 615 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Pascoe Vale South right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Pascoe Vale South climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
25°
15°
Feb
26°
14°
Mar
23°
12°
Apr
19°
10°
May
16°
8°
Jun
14°
7°
Jul
12°
6°
Aug
14°
6°
Sep
16°
7°
Oct
18°
8°
Nov
20°
11°
Dec
23°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Pascoe Vale South has changed since 1995

Pascoe Vale South sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Craigieburn. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Craigieburn page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Pascoe Vale South?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±2.1 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±2.0 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
84
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C96±2.2 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 22°±36%55% to 91% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±2°14° to 17°±23%26% to 49% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±34%13% to 47% chance
Wed±3°16° to 20°±20%3% to 23% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Pascoe Vale South

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Pascoe Vale South today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Pascoe Vale South today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Pascoe Vale South today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Pascoe Vale South on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (European 100%, American 100%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 91%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Pascoe Vale South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Pascoe Vale South (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Pascoe Vale South?
February is typically the warmest month in Pascoe Vale South, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Pascoe Vale South get?
The coldest month in Pascoe Vale South is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Pascoe Vale South get?
Pascoe Vale South sees roughly 615 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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