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CheckWeather AUPaddington
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Paddington weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Paddington today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 24°, with a 71% chance of rain.

25°15°
24°15°
25°13°
21°15°
21°13°
22°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agreeSaturdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Light drizzle
Feels 22° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 51%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Overcast
Feels 19° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 50%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Partly cloudy
Feels 22° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 48%

Latest for Paddington: European (ECMWF): 23° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 21° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 24° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Paddington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
25° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
24° 15°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
25° 13°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
22° 13°
models agree
Tue
Clear
25° 13°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
24° 15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
20° 14°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
27° 13°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
28° 16°
±4°

Paddington is a small town of about 8,315 people in Queensland, sitting at 27.5°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Paddington with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Red Hill, Ashgrove, Bardon.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Paddington?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.0 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
85
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C97±1.5 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C91±4.3 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°23° to 25°±61%10% to 71% chance
Wed±2°24° to 26°±12%1% to 13% chance
Thu±2°20° to 22°±15%16% to 31% chance
Frimodels agree21° to 21°±40%5% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paddington

today, local time
Sunrise
05:55
Sunset
17:37
Daylight
11h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paddington today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Paddington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Paddington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Paddington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paddington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paddington (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather