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CheckWeather AUOakhurst
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Oakhurst weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Oakhurst today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 75% chance of rain.

23°13°
23°11°
19°10°
20°
19°
22°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Mainly clear
Feels 23° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 48%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Clear
Feels 23° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 30%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Partly cloudy
Feels 20° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 42%

Latest for Oakhurst: European (ECMWF): 22° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 24° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 21° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Oakhurst and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
22°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
23°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
27°
models agree
Mon
Clear
30° 12°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
24° 12°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
24° 10°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
20°
±8°
Fri
Clear
28°
±4°
Sat
Clear
32° 14°
models agree

Oakhurst, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 31°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 782 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Oakhurst right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Oakhurst climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
28°
18°
Feb
29°
18°
Mar
28°
17°
Apr
23°
13°
May
19°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
20°
Sep
24°
Oct
25°
12°
Nov
27°
16°
Dec
31°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Oakhurst?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±2.8 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
80
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±1.8 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C93±3.6 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±51%24% to 75% chance
Tue±2°19° to 20°±56%11% to 67% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±27%18% to 45% chance
Thu±1°18° to 19°±15%0% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oakhurst

today, local time
Sunrise
06:08
Sunset
17:42
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oakhurst today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Oakhurst today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Oakhurst today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Oakhurst and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oakhurst?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Oakhurst (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the German at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oakhurst?
December is typically the warmest month in Oakhurst, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Oakhurst get?
The coldest month in Oakhurst is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Oakhurst get?
Oakhurst sees roughly 782 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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