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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUNerang
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Nerang weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Nerang's high today between 32° and 36°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 24°, with a 25% chance of rain.

33°17°
24°14°
22°14°
23°12°
20°15°
22°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
32°
Light drizzle
Today 32°·Low 17°·Rain 12%
AmericanNOAA GFS
36°
Cloudy
Today 36°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
33°
Partly cloudy
Today 33°·Low 18°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Nerang and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
33° 17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 15°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
22° 13°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
25° 11°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
29° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
27° 14°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Sat
Clear
26° 11°
±3°

Nerang is a small town of about 17,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 28.0°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Nerang with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Highland Park, Molendinar, Ashmore.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Nerang?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C96±1.8 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C97±1.4 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
66
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C96±1.9 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°32° to 36°±12%0% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±22%3% to 25% chance
Tue±2°22° to 23°±50%5% to 55% chance
Wed±4°22° to 26°±56%4% to 60% chance
Thu±3°19° to 22°±43%8% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Nerang

today, local time
Sunrise
05:55
Sunset
17:35
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Nerang today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Nerang today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Nerang today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Nerang and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Nerang?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Nerang (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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