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CheckWeather AUModbury Heights
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Modbury Heights weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Modbury Heights today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 4% chance of rain.

15°
17°
16°
14°
17°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Modbury Heights and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Clear
17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
22° 10°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
22° 12°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Clear
18°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
21°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±9°
Sat
Partly cloudy
19° 10°
±5°

Modbury Heights, South Australia is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 743 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Modbury Heights right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Modbury Heights climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
28°
15°
Feb
28°
15°
Mar
26°
15°
Apr
19°
10°
May
17°
Jun
14°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
21°
10°
Nov
24°
12°
Dec
26°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Modbury Heights?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±2.0 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C96±1.8 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 16°±71%0% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 17°±1%3% to 4% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 16°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±2°13° to 15°±5%0% to 5% chance
Thu±2°16° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Modbury Heights

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Modbury Heights today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Modbury Heights today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Modbury Heights today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Modbury Heights and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Modbury Heights?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Modbury Heights (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Modbury Heights?
January is typically the warmest month in Modbury Heights, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Modbury Heights get?
The coldest month in Modbury Heights is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Modbury Heights get?
Modbury Heights sees roughly 743 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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