Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Hope Valley's high today between 14° and 16°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 4% chance of rain.
Hope Valley is a small town of about 8,223 people in South Australia, sitting at 34.8°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Hope Valley with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Modbury, Highbury, Modbury North.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.