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CheckWeather AUHope Valley
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Hope Valley weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Hope Valley's high today between 14° and 16°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 4% chance of rain.

15°
16°
16°
13°
17°
20°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low 10°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hope Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
22° 12°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Clear
18°
±2°
Thu
Mostly clear
21°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
19° 10°
±4°

Hope Valley is a small town of about 8,223 people in South Australia, sitting at 34.8°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Hope Valley with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Modbury, Highbury, Modbury North.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hope Valley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C98±1.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C96±1.9 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C96±1.8 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 16°±71%0% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±1%3% to 4% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±1°13° to 14°±5%0% to 5% chance
Thu±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hope Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hope Valley today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Hope Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hope Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Hope Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hope Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hope Valley (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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