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CheckWeather AUMarayong
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Marayong weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Marayong today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 24°, with a 68% chance of rain.

23°15°
24°12°
19°11°
20°
19°
22°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 15°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Marayong and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
24° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
22°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
22° 11°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
27° 11°
models agree
Mon
Clear
30° 14°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
23° 15°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
23° 12°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
19° 11°
±6°
Fri
Clear
28° 10°
±3°
Sat
Clear
31° 16°
models agree

Marayong, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 818 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Marayong right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Marayong climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
28°
18°
Feb
29°
18°
Mar
28°
17°
Apr
23°
12°
May
19°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
20°
Sep
24°
Oct
25°
12°
Nov
27°
16°
Dec
30°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Marayong?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C97±1.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
71±1.6°C91±4.3 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C97±1.7 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree23° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±38%30% to 68% chance
Tue±1°19° to 19°±29%18% to 47% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±52%3% to 55% chance
Thumodels agree19° to 19°±12%0% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Marayong

today, local time
Sunrise
06:07
Sunset
17:41
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Marayong today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Marayong today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Marayong today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Marayong and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Marayong?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Marayong (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Marayong?
December is typically the warmest month in Marayong, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Marayong get?
The coldest month in Marayong is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Marayong get?
Marayong sees roughly 818 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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