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CheckWeather AU›Kwinana
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Kwinana weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Kwinana today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 16°, with a 47% chance of rain.

16°8°
16°8°
19°10°
24°11°
24°13°
25°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 7°·Rain 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Drizzle
Today 15°·Low 8°·Rain 94%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 45%
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Kwinana weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kwinana swings 23°C across the year, from 32°C highs in February to 9°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 786 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
32°C average high
Coldest month
July
9°C average low
Wettest month
July
786 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and August
Residents
30,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kwinana and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kwinana hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kwinana 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 8°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
16° 8°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
19° 10°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
24° 11°
±3°
Wed
Clear
24° 13°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
25° 15°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
23° 14°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
24° 13°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 11°
±3°

Kwinana, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 32°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 9°C), with roughly 786 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kwinana right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Kwinana climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
18°
Feb
32°
19°
Mar
29°
17°
Apr
25°
15°
May
21°
12°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
16°
9°
Aug
17°
9°
Sep
20°
10°
Oct
23°
12°
Nov
27°
15°
Dec
30°
17°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kwinana has changed since 1995

Kwinana sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Perth. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Perth page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kwinana?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.6 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C97±1.7 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
63±2.1°C84±7.8 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±49%45% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 18°±39%8% to 47% chance
Mon±4°17° to 20°±68%10% to 78% chance
Tue±3°22° to 25°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±3°23° to 27°±28%0% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kwinana

today, local time
Sunrise
05:26
Sunset
18:34
Daylight
13h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kwinana today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Kwinana today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 16°, with a 47% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kwinana today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Kwinana on Sunday 25 October: European 47%, American 10%, German 8%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 94%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kwinana?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kwinana (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kwinana?
February is typically the warmest month in Kwinana, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Kwinana get?
The coldest month in Kwinana is July, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Kwinana get?
Kwinana sees roughly 786 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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