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CheckWeather AUKwinana
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kwinana weather

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Light drizzle,warmer tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Kwinana today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 21°, with a 0% chance of rain.

18°12°
21°10°
20°12°
20°11°
22°13°
22°16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 12°·Rain 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 86%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Showers
Today 18°·Low 13°·Rain 75%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kwinana and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
21° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
20° 11°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±3°
Sat
Light rain
19° 15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
17° 12°
±2°
Mon
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±4°
Tue
Clear
22° 11°
±5°
Wed
Partly cloudy
22° 13°
±6°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
18° 12°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree

Kwinana, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 33°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 634 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kwinana right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Kwinana climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
19°
Feb
33°
20°
Mar
29°
17°
Apr
25°
15°
May
22°
13°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
17°
10°
Aug
18°
10°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
24°
13°
Nov
28°
16°
Dec
31°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Kwinana?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C95±2.5 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C95±2.4 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
79±1.1°C78±10.9 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 18°±11%75% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°20° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thumodels agree22° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kwinana

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kwinana today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Kwinana today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kwinana today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Kwinana and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kwinana?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kwinana (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kwinana?
February is typically the warmest month in Kwinana, with average highs around 33°C.
How cold does Kwinana get?
The coldest month in Kwinana is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Kwinana get?
Kwinana sees roughly 634 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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