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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUKempsey
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Kempsey weather

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Mostly clear,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Kempsey's high today between 26° and 28°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 41% chance of rain.

27°12°
23°
20°10°
23°
19°11°
21°10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
26°
Mostly clear
Today 26°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
28°
Mostly clear
Today 28°·Low 11°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kempsey and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
27° 12°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 10°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
24°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
27° 11°
±6°
Tue
Drizzle
27° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
25° 13°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
±6°
Fri
Clear
23°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
28° 10°
models agree

Kempsey is a small town of about 11,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 31.1°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Kempsey with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Port Macquarie, Wauchope, Nambucca Heads.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kempsey?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±1.0 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
85
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C97±1.5 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C95±2.3 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°26° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±36%5% to 41% chance
Tuemodels agree20° to 20°±61%10% to 71% chance
Wed±4°22° to 25°±66%3% to 69% chance
Thu±3°18° to 21°±45%20% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kempsey

today, local time
Sunrise
05:59
Sunset
17:35
Daylight
11h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kempsey today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Kempsey today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kempsey today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Kempsey and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kempsey?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kempsey (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather