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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Coffs Harbour weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Coffs Harbour's high today between 24° and 26°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain.

25°18°
25°20°
30°18°
21°18°
23°16°
24°16°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±7°
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Drizzle
Today 25°·Low 17°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Light drizzle
Today 26°·Low 17°·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 19°·Rain 13%
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Coffs Harbour weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Coffs Harbour swings 20°C across the year, from 28°C highs in December to 8°C lows in July, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1563 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
28°C average high
Coldest month
July
8°C average low
Wettest month
March
1563 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
79,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Coffs Harbour and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Coffs Harbour hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Coffs Harbour 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
25° 18°
±3°
Tomorrow
Showers
25° 20°
±2°
Mon
Light rain
30° 18°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
21° 18°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
23° 16°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
24° 16°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 16°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
29° 17°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
25° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±5°
Wed
Showers
27° 15°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
26° 16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 15°
±5°

Coffs Harbour, New South Wales. Often shortened to Coffs. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Coffs Harbour right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Coffs Harbour's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Coffs Harbour weather by month

what to expect in Coffs Harbour through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Coffs Harbour's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Coffs Harbour by season.

Jan
27°
20°
Warm
Feb
27°
20°
Warm
Mar
25°
18°
Warm
Wettest
Apr
23°
16°
Warm
May
20°
13°
Mild
Jun
19°
10°
Mild
Jul
17°
8°
Mild
Aug
19°
9°
Mild
Sep
22°
11°
Warm
Oct
23°
13°
Warm
Nov
25°
17°
Warm
Dec
28°
18°
Warm

What Coffs Harbour's weather is like through the year

Coffs Harbour runs from warm summers, with December highs near 28°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 8°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). March is usually the wettest month, and Coffs Harbour sees roughly 1563 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Coffs Harbour

The most comfortable time to visit Coffs Harbour is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.

How Coffs Harbour's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C

Around Coffs Harbour, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2007: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2009: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2010: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2021: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −3 vs the 30-year average1996: −5 vs the 30-year average1997: +2 vs the 30-year average1998: +6 vs the 30-year average1999: −6 vs the 30-year average2000: −4 vs the 30-year average2001: +5 vs the 30-year average2002: +7 vs the 30-year average2003: +1 vs the 30-year average2004: +6 vs the 30-year average2005: +4 vs the 30-year average2006: −3 vs the 30-year average2007: −4 vs the 30-year average2008: −5 vs the 30-year average2009: −4 vs the 30-year average2010: −3 vs the 30-year average2011: −2 vs the 30-year average2012: −4 vs the 30-year average2013: +2 vs the 30-year average2014: +3 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: +3 vs the 30-year average2017: +12 vs the 30-year average2018: +2 vs the 30-year average2019: +7 vs the 30-year average2020: +1 vs the 30-year average2021: −6 vs the 30-year average2022: −6 vs the 30-year average2023: +1 vs the 30-year average2024: −2 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−5%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: +5% vs the 30-year average1996: +0% vs the 30-year average1997: +2% vs the 30-year average1998: +0% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: +2% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: +0% vs the 30-year average2005: +2% vs the 30-year average2006: +2% vs the 30-year average2007: +0% vs the 30-year average2008: +5% vs the 30-year average2009: +0% vs the 30-year average2010: +0% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: +0% vs the 30-year average2013: +0% vs the 30-year average2014: −2% vs the 30-year average2015: −7% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: −2% vs the 30-year average2018: +0% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: +0% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: +0% vs the 30-year average2023: −7% vs the 30-year average2024: −5% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.8°C−3+5%
1996−0.7°C−5+0%
1997+0.1°C+2+2%
1998+0.5°C+6+0%
1999−0.4°C−6+2%
2000−0.3°C−4+2%
2001±0.0°C+5+2%
2002+0.3°C+7+2%
2003−0.2°C+1+2%
2004+0.2°C+6+0%
2005+0.4°C+4+2%
2006−0.1°C−3+2%
2007±0.0°C−4+0%
2008−0.6°C−5+5%
2009±0.0°C−4+0%
2010±0.0°C−3+0%
2011−0.5°C−2+2%
2012−0.5°C−4+0%
2013±0.0°C+2+0%
2014+0.2°C+3−2%
2015−0.1°C−3−7%
2016+0.6°C+3−2%
2017+0.3°C+12−2%
2018+0.2°C+2+0%
2019+0.8°C+7−2%
2020+0.1°C+1+0%
2021−0.4°C−6−2%
2022−0.6°C−6+0%
2023+0.4°C+1−7%
2024+0.6°C−2−5%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Coffs Harbour, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Coffs Harbour?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
79±1.2°C92±4.1 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C94±3.1 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
60±2.2°C88±5.9 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Coffs Harbour, scoring 81/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 79. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°24° to 26°±87%13% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°24° to 26°±72%28% to 100% chance
Mon±1°30° to 31°±23%75% to 98% chance
Tue±3°19° to 22°±27%55% to 82% chance
Wed±4°21° to 25°±31%31% to 62% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Coffs Harbour

today, local time
Sunrise
06:00
Sunset
19:04
Daylight
13h 4m

Common questions

What's the weather in Coffs Harbour today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Coffs Harbour's high today between 24° and 26°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Coffs Harbour today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Coffs Harbour on Sunday 25 October: European 100%, American 68%, German 28%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coffs Harbour?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Coffs Harbour (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Coffs Harbour?
December is typically the warmest month in Coffs Harbour, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Coffs Harbour get?
The coldest month in Coffs Harbour is July, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Coffs Harbour get?
Coffs Harbour sees roughly 1563 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Coffs Harbour?
The most comfortable time to visit Coffs Harbour is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Coffs Harbour?
Rarely - Coffs Harbour very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Coffs Harbour getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Coffs Harbour, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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