Grafton weather
Loading live data…Mostly clear,cooler tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Grafton's high today between 30° and 34°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 25°, with a 8% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Grafton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitGrafton is a small town of about 19,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 29.7°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Grafton with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include South Grafton, Yamba, Woolgoolga.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Which forecast is most accurate in Grafton?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.