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CheckWeather AUGoonellabah
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Goonellabah weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Goonellabah's high today between 30° and 33°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 7% chance of rain.

32°13°
23°11°
19°11°
23°10°
18°11°
19°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
33°
Partly cloudy
Today 33°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
32°
Partly cloudy
Today 32°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Goonellabah and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
32° 13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
23° 10°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 10°
±3°
Mon
Mostly clear
25° 10°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
29° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 13°
±13°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Sat
Clear
26° 10°
models agree

Goonellabah is a small town of about 13,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 28.8°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Goonellabah with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include East Lismore, Alstonville, Ballina.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Goonellabah?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C97±1.5 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±1.9 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
86
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C96±1.8 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°30° to 33°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 24°±4%3% to 7% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±31%40% to 71% chance
Wed±4°21° to 26°±32%15% to 47% chance
Thu±3°17° to 19°±35%44% to 79% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Goonellabah

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:35
Daylight
11h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Goonellabah today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Goonellabah today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Goonellabah today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Goonellabah and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Goonellabah?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Goonellabah (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather