Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 3°C
Goonellabah weather
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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Goonellabah's high today between 22° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 24°, with a 99% chance of rain.
Goonellabah swings 21°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 7°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1399 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
February
1399 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Goonellabah and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Goonellabah hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Goonellabah 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
24°16°
±3°
Tomorrow
Showers
24°18°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
31°18°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
24°17°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
25°16°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
24°15°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
24°15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
27°17°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
29°16°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22°16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21°13°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
26°13°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
27°15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
25°16°
±4°
Goonellabah, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1399 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Goonellabah right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
19°
Feb
27°
18°
Mar
26°
17°
Apr
23°
13°
May
20°
10°
Jun
19°
8°
Jul
18°
7°
Aug
19°
8°
Sep
23°
10°
Oct
25°
13°
Nov
26°
17°
Dec
28°
17°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Goonellabah's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C
Around Goonellabah, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 35°C
2 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−3%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >35°C vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.4°C
−3
+5%
1996
−0.7°C
−1
+2%
1997
−0.1°C
+1
+2%
1998
+0.6°C
+3
−0%
1999
−0.9°C
−10
−0%
2000
−0.2°C
−3
+2%
2001
−0.1°C
+1
−0%
2002
+0.5°C
+9
+5%
2003
−0.3°C
+2
+2%
2004
+0.4°C
+4
−0%
2005
+0.5°C
+4
+2%
2006
−0.4°C
−5
−0%
2007
+0.1°C
−7
−0%
2008
−0.8°C
−7
+5%
2009
+0.1°C
+6
−0%
2010
−0.3°C
−7
−3%
2011
−0.8°C
−8
−0%
2012
−0.6°C
−1
−3%
2013
−0.2°C
−1
−0%
2014
+0.3°C
+9
−3%
2015
−0.1°C
−4
−6%
2016
+0.8°C
+7
−0%
2017
+0.4°C
+12
−0%
2018
+0.4°C
+3
−0%
2019
+1.3°C
+15
+2%
2020
+0.3°C
+4
−0%
2021
−0.5°C
−10
−3%
2022
−0.8°C
−8
+2%
2023
+1.0°C
+5
−3%
2024
+0.7°C
−3
−3%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Goonellabah, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Goonellabah?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C
98±1.2 km/h
8994% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C
97±1.7 km/h
7184% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American
71
/100rank #3
67±1.8°C
96±1.9 km/h
5877% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±3°22° to 25°
±30%70% to 100% chance
Tomorrow
±1°23° to 25°
±39%60% to 99% chance
Mon
±2°30° to 32°
±34%55% to 89% chance
Tue
±3°23° to 25°
±43%18% to 61% chance
Wed
±5°21° to 27°
±23%22% to 45% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Goonellabah
today, local time
Sunrise
06:01
Sunset
19:01
Daylight
13h 0m
Common questions
What's the weather in Goonellabah today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Goonellabah's high today between 22° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 24°, with a 99% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Goonellabah today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Goonellabah on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 60% (European 99%, American 77%, German 60%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Goonellabah?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Goonellabah (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Goonellabah?
January is typically the warmest month in Goonellabah, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Goonellabah get?
The coldest month in Goonellabah is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Goonellabah get?
Goonellabah sees roughly 1399 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Goonellabah getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Goonellabah, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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