Partly cloudy,cooler tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Ballina's high today between 29° and 33°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 18% chance of rain.
Latest for Ballina: European (ECMWF): 21° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 20° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 20° Mainly clear.
Ballina is a small town of about 8,911 people in New South Wales, sitting at 28.9°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Ballina with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include East Ballina, Lennox Head, Alstonville.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.