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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUBallina
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Ballina weather

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Partly cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Ballina's high today between 29° and 33°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 18% chance of rain.

31°17°
22°12°
19°14°
22°12°
19°15°
20°12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Clear
Feels 22° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Clear
Feels 20° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 56%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Mainly clear
Feels 20° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 61%

Latest for Ballina: European (ECMWF): 21° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 20° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 20° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Ballina and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
31° 17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 12°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 12°
models agree
Thu
Showers
19° 15°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
20° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
26° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 15°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
20° 12°
±3°
Sat
Clear
23° 12°
models agree

Ballina is a small town of about 8,911 people in New South Wales, sitting at 28.9°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Ballina with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include East Ballina, Lennox Head, Alstonville.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ballina?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C95±2.6 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C96±2.1 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
83
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C92±3.8 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°29° to 33°±24%0% to 24% chance
Tomorrow±3°20° to 23°±13%5% to 18% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±34%50% to 84% chance
Wed±1°21° to 22°±34%18% to 52% chance
Thu±2°17° to 20°±43%55% to 98% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ballina

today, local time
Sunrise
05:55
Sunset
17:34
Daylight
11h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ballina today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Ballina today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ballina today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Ballina and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ballina?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ballina (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather