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Gladstone weekend weather

This weekend in Gladstone, Queensland, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 21° across the weekend. Agreement is medium — plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Tomorrow

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light drizzle
High 20°·Low 15°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
High 22°·Low 12°·Rain 6%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Partly cloudy
High 22°·Low 15°·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Mostly clear
High 20°·Low 15°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
High 22°·Low 11°·Rain 16%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Partly cloudy
High 22°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The models range from 20° to 22°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±22%0% to 22% chance
Sun±3°20° to 22°±16%0% to 16% chance
Mon±3°20° to 23°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±4°20° to 24°±3%0% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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