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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Gladstone weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Gladstone's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 27°, with a 99% chance of rain.

23°21°
27°21°
30°22°
31°22°
29°21°
27°21°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Heavy drizzle
Today 24°·Low 21°·Rain 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Showers
Today 21°·Low 20°·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Showers
Today 24°·Low 21°·Rain 95%
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Gladstone weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Gladstone swings 17°C across the year, from 29°C highs in February to 12°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 886 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
29°C average high
Coldest month
June
12°C average low
Wettest month
February
886 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
45,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Gladstone and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gladstone hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Gladstone 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
23° 21°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
27° 21°
±2°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
30° 22°
±3°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
31° 22°
±5°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
29° 21°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
27° 21°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
26° 20°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
27° 21°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
32° 20°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
30° 20°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
26° 20°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 20°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
28° 20°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
29° 21°
±4°

Gladstone, Queensland is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 12°C), with roughly 886 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Gladstone right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Gladstone climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
22°
Feb
29°
22°
Mar
28°
22°
Apr
26°
18°
May
24°
16°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
21°
12°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
25°
15°
Oct
26°
18°
Nov
27°
20°
Dec
29°
22°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Gladstone's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C

Around Gladstone, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2023.

1995: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2006: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2011: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

3 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +1 vs the 30-year average1996: −3 vs the 30-year average1997: −3 vs the 30-year average1998: +3 vs the 30-year average1999: −4 vs the 30-year average2000: −3 vs the 30-year average2001: +6 vs the 30-year average2002: +4 vs the 30-year average2003: −4 vs the 30-year average2004: +1 vs the 30-year average2005: +1 vs the 30-year average2006: −5 vs the 30-year average2007: −3 vs the 30-year average2008: −5 vs the 30-year average2009: −6 vs the 30-year average2010: −6 vs the 30-year average2011: −6 vs the 30-year average2012: +1 vs the 30-year average2013: −1 vs the 30-year average2014: +1 vs the 30-year average2015: −5 vs the 30-year average2016: +4 vs the 30-year average2017: +2 vs the 30-year average2018: +8 vs the 30-year average2019: +17 vs the 30-year average2020: −4 vs the 30-year average2021: −2 vs the 30-year average2022: +6 vs the 30-year average2023: +2 vs the 30-year average2024: −1 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: −0% vs the 30-year average1997: +2% vs the 30-year average1998: −3% vs the 30-year average1999: +9% vs the 30-year average2000: +6% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: −0% vs the 30-year average2004: −3% vs the 30-year average2005: +2% vs the 30-year average2006: +4% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: −3% vs the 30-year average2009: −3% vs the 30-year average2010: −0% vs the 30-year average2011: −3% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: −0% vs the 30-year average2014: −0% vs the 30-year average2015: −3% vs the 30-year average2016: −0% vs the 30-year average2017: −5% vs the 30-year average2018: +2% vs the 30-year average2019: +4% vs the 30-year average2020: −0% vs the 30-year average2021: −3% vs the 30-year average2022: −3% vs the 30-year average2023: −0% vs the 30-year average2024: +2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995±0.0°C+1+2%
1996−0.3°C−3−0%
1997−0.2°C−3+2%
1998+0.5°C+3−3%
1999−0.4°C−4+9%
2000−0.6°C−3+6%
2001+0.4°C+6−3%
2002+0.2°C+4+2%
2003−0.1°C−4−0%
2004+0.3°C+1−3%
2005+0.6°C+1+2%
2006±0.0°C−5+4%
2007−0.4°C−3+2%
2008−0.7°C−5−3%
2009+0.2°C−6−3%
2010−0.5°C−6−0%
2011−1.1°C−6−3%
2012−0.7°C+1−3%
2013−0.3°C−1−0%
2014−0.3°C+1−0%
2015−0.1°C−5−3%
2016+0.4°C+4−0%
2017+0.5°C+2−5%
2018+0.4°C+8+2%
2019+0.6°C+17+4%
2020+0.4°C−4−0%
2021+0.2°C−2−3%
2022−0.2°C+6−3%
2023+0.8°C+2−0%
2024+0.8°C−1+2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Gladstone, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Gladstone?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C98±1.2 km/h6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±2.0 km/h5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C95±2.3 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°26° to 28°±9%90% to 99% chance
Mon±3°29° to 32°±57%20% to 77% chance
Tue±5°29° to 34°±37%34% to 71% chance
Wed±1°28° to 29°±21%38% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gladstone

today, local time
Sunrise
05:14
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
12h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gladstone today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Gladstone's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 27°, with a 99% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Gladstone today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Gladstone on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 90% (European 99%, American 94%, German 90%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gladstone?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gladstone (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gladstone?
February is typically the warmest month in Gladstone, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Gladstone get?
The coldest month in Gladstone is June, when overnight lows average about 12°C.
How much rain does Gladstone get?
Gladstone sees roughly 886 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Gladstone getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Gladstone, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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