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CheckWeather AU›Frenchs Forest
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Frenchs Forest weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Frenchs Forest's high today between 23° and 28°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 31°, with a 90% chance of rain.

26°15°
31°18°
21°15°
21°12°
23°11°
22°12°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Cloudy
Today 28°·Low 16°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
26°
Fog
Today 26°·Low 15°·Rain 15%
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Frenchs Forest weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Frenchs Forest swings 18°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 8°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1234 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
July
8°C average low
Wettest month
February
1234 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Frenchs Forest and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Frenchs Forest hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Frenchs Forest 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
26° 15°
±5°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
31° 18°
±4°
Mon
Showers
21° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 11°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21° 15°
±3°
Sat
Showers
27° 16°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
27° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 15°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree

Frenchs Forest, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 8°C), with roughly 1234 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Frenchs Forest right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Frenchs Forest climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
25°
18°
Mar
24°
16°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
10°
Jun
17°
9°
Jul
16°
8°
Aug
17°
8°
Sep
20°
10°
Oct
21°
12°
Nov
23°
16°
Dec
24°
16°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Frenchs Forest has changed since 1995

Frenchs Forest sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Central Coast. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Central Coast page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Frenchs Forest?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C97±1.3 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±2.0 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
60±2.2°C94±3.1 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°23° to 28°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±4°29° to 33°±52%38% to 90% chance
Mon±3°19° to 22°±14%73% to 87% chance
Tue±1°20° to 21°±56%21% to 77% chance
Wed±5°19° to 25°±59%18% to 77% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Frenchs Forest

today, local time
Sunrise
06:03
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Frenchs Forest today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Frenchs Forest's high today between 23° and 28°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 31°, with a 90% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Frenchs Forest today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Frenchs Forest on Sunday 25 October: European 78%, American 90%, German 38%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 16%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Frenchs Forest?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Frenchs Forest (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Frenchs Forest?
January is typically the warmest month in Frenchs Forest, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Frenchs Forest get?
The coldest month in Frenchs Forest is July, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Frenchs Forest get?
Frenchs Forest sees roughly 1234 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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