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CheckWeather AUEllenbrook
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Ellenbrook weather

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Light drizzle,warmer tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Ellenbrook today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 21°, with a 0% chance of rain.

17°12°
21°10°
20°12°
20°10°
23°13°
25°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 45%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Showers
Today 17°·Low 12°·Rain 33%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Ellenbrook and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
21° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
25° 15°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
20° 11°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
22° 10°
±2°
Tue
Clear
24° 11°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
24° 13°
±3°
Thu
Light rain
21° 10°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree

Ellenbrook, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 35°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 591 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Ellenbrook right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Ellenbrook climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
19°
Feb
35°
20°
Mar
31°
18°
Apr
25°
14°
May
23°
13°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
19°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
26°
13°
Nov
29°
16°
Dec
32°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ellenbrook?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.4 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
89
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C94±2.9 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C89±5.4 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 18°±57%33% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°20° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°19° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±2°22° to 24°±10%0% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ellenbrook

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ellenbrook today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Ellenbrook today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ellenbrook today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Ellenbrook and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ellenbrook?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ellenbrook (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ellenbrook?
February is typically the warmest month in Ellenbrook, with average highs around 35°C.
How cold does Ellenbrook get?
The coldest month in Ellenbrook is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Ellenbrook get?
Ellenbrook sees roughly 591 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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