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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Ballajura weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Ballajura today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 18°, with a 16% chance of rain.

17°9°
18°7°
20°10°
25°11°
26°13°
28°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±7°
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Clear
Feels 8° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 54%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Clear
Feels 8° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 39%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Clear
Feels 10° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 52%

Latest for Ballajura: European (ECMWF): 12° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 13° Clear.

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Ballajura weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ballajura swings 24°C across the year, from 33°C highs in February to 9°C lows in June, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 779 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
33°C average high
Coldest month
June
9°C average low
Wettest month
June
779 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, July and August
Residents
18,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Ballajura and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ballajura hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ballajura 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 9°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 7°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Tue
Clear
25° 11°
±3°
Wed
Clear
26° 13°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
28° 15°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
25° 14°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
26° 13°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree

Ballajura, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 33°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 779 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Ballajura right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Ballajura climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
32°
18°
Feb
33°
19°
Mar
30°
18°
Apr
25°
14°
May
22°
12°
Jun
18°
9°
Jul
17°
9°
Aug
18°
9°
Sep
20°
10°
Oct
24°
12°
Nov
27°
15°
Dec
31°
18°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ballajura has changed since 1995

Ballajura sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Perth. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Perth page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ballajura?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C94±3.2 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C88±5.9 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
79
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C96±1.8 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 17°±25%26% to 51% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°±16%0% to 16% chance
Mon±2°19° to 21°±68%5% to 73% chance
Tue±3°23° to 27°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±3°25° to 28°±24%4% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ballajura

today, local time
Sunrise
05:26
Sunset
18:34
Daylight
13h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ballajura today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Ballajura today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 18°, with a 16% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Ballajura today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Ballajura on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 16% (European 16%, American 3%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 51%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ballajura?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ballajura (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ballajura?
February is typically the warmest month in Ballajura, with average highs around 33°C.
How cold does Ballajura get?
The coldest month in Ballajura is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Ballajura get?
Ballajura sees roughly 779 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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