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CheckWeather AU›Donvale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Donvale weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Donvale today. Tomorrow: rain, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain.

22°16°
18°9°
15°6°
15°6°
18°7°
21°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Rain
Feels 19° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 18° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Light showers
Feels 22° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 95%

Latest for Donvale: European (ECMWF): 17° Rain · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 19° Light showers.

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Donvale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Donvale swings 21°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 5°C lows in July, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 795 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
July
5°C average low
Wettest month
November
795 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Donvale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Donvale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Donvale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
22° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
18° 9°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15° 6°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 6°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 7°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 9°
±4°
Fri
Light rain
17° 11°
±11°
Sat
Light rain
19° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15° 7°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 5°
±3°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
22° 8°
±4°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
17° 10°
±2°
Thu
Partly cloudy
21° 8°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
25° 9°
±5°

Donvale, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 795 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Donvale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Donvale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
25°
13°
Mar
24°
12°
Apr
18°
9°
May
15°
7°
Jun
13°
6°
Jul
13°
5°
Aug
14°
5°
Sep
17°
7°
Oct
18°
7°
Nov
22°
11°
Dec
24°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Donvale has changed since 1995

Donvale sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Melbourne. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Melbourne page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Donvale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.1 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C97±1.7 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
81
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C95±2.3 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 23°±31%55% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±3°14° to 16°±35%26% to 61% chance
Tue±1°14° to 16°±14%13% to 27% chance
Wed±4°16° to 19°±21%3% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Donvale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:22
Sunset
19:44
Daylight
13h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Donvale today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Donvale today. Tomorrow: rain, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Donvale today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Donvale on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (European 100%, American 100%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 86%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Donvale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Donvale (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Donvale?
January is typically the warmest month in Donvale, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Donvale get?
The coldest month in Donvale is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Donvale get?
Donvale sees roughly 795 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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