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CheckWeather AUBlackburn North
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Blackburn North weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Blackburn North today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 76% chance of rain.

17°11°
14°
16°
13°
14°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 52%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain 48%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Blackburn North and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
21°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
15°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
18° 10°
±2°
Sat
Partly cloudy
20°
±8°

Blackburn North, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 906 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Blackburn North right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Blackburn North climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
25°
13°
Mar
24°
12°
Apr
18°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
23°
12°
Dec
25°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Blackburn North?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.1 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C95±2.3 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C97±1.5 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±32%48% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±41%35% to 76% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±14%63% to 77% chance
Thu±2°13° to 14°±12%2% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Blackburn North

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Blackburn North today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Blackburn North today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Blackburn North today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Blackburn North and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blackburn North?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Blackburn North (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blackburn North?
January is typically the warmest month in Blackburn North, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Blackburn North get?
The coldest month in Blackburn North is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Blackburn North get?
Blackburn North sees roughly 906 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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