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CheckWeather AUCranbourne East
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Cranbourne East weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Cranbourne East today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 92% chance of rain.

16°11°
14°
14°
12°
14°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light drizzle
Feels 9° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Partly cloudy
Feels 9° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 73%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 83%

Latest for Cranbourne East: European (ECMWF): 11° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Partly cloudy · German (DWD ICON): 12° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cranbourne East and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
21° 10°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
14°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±10°

Cranbourne East, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 784 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Cranbourne East right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Cranbourne East climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
15°
Feb
26°
14°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
19°
10°
May
16°
Jun
14°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
23°
12°
Dec
24°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cranbourne East?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C96±2.2 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
88
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C95±2.5 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
86
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C94±3.1 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°±50%48% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±57%35% to 92% chance
Tue±1°13° to 14°±10%0% to 10% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±10%63% to 73% chance
Thu±1°14° to 15°±10%2% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cranbourne East

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cranbourne East today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Cranbourne East today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cranbourne East today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Cranbourne East and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cranbourne East?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Cranbourne East (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cranbourne East?
January is typically the warmest month in Cranbourne East, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Cranbourne East get?
The coldest month in Cranbourne East is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Cranbourne East get?
Cranbourne East sees roughly 784 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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