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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Cherrybrook weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 29° in Cherrybrook today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 32°, with a 84% chance of rain.

29°15°
32°18°
21°15°
23°12°
25°10°
25°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Clear
Feels 20° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 85%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Mainly clear
Feels 20° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 79%

Latest for Cherrybrook: European (ECMWF): 19° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 19° Mainly clear.

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Cherrybrook weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cherrybrook swings 20°C across the year, from 27°C highs in January to 7°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1060 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
27°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
February
1060 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
19,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cherrybrook and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cherrybrook hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cherrybrook 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
29° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
32° 18°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 10°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
25° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
24° 14°
±9°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
27° 16°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
22° 12°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
27° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 14°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
24° 13°
±7°

Cherrybrook, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1060 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Cherrybrook right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Cherrybrook climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
27°
18°
Feb
27°
17°
Mar
25°
15°
Apr
22°
13°
May
19°
9°
Jun
16°
8°
Jul
16°
7°
Aug
17°
7°
Sep
21°
9°
Oct
23°
11°
Nov
24°
15°
Dec
27°
16°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Cherrybrook has changed since 1995

Cherrybrook sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Central Coast. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Central Coast page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cherrybrook?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±1.9 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C96±2.0 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C97±1.5 km/h5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°28° to 30°±89%3% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±3°31° to 34°±39%45% to 84% chance
Mon±4°19° to 23°±15%69% to 84% chance
Tue±1°23° to 24°±46%19% to 65% chance
Wed±4°23° to 27°±41%16% to 57% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cherrybrook

today, local time
Sunrise
06:04
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cherrybrook today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 29° in Cherrybrook today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 32°, with a 84% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Cherrybrook today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Cherrybrook on Sunday 25 October: European 67%, American 84%, German 45%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 92%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cherrybrook?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cherrybrook (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cherrybrook?
January is typically the warmest month in Cherrybrook, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Cherrybrook get?
The coldest month in Cherrybrook is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Cherrybrook get?
Cherrybrook sees roughly 1060 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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